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Story of the tape: Paul v Joshua
Right here’s a take a look at how Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua measure up forward of tonight’s principal occasion. The true chasm right here is just not age however class: a two-time unified heavyweight champion and Olympic gold medalist going through a 13-fight novice whose skilled profession has unfolded largely towards retired MMA champions, fellow influencers and long-faded ex-champions in Julio César Chávez Jr, and final 12 months’s made-for-Netflix bout towards a 58-year-old Mike Tyson that drew monumental viewership and equal components fascination and revulsion.
Joshua, 36, got here in at 243.4lb at Thursday’s weigh-in, almost 30lb heavier than Paul, who tipped the scales at 216.6lb. The distinction is sufficient to place the bout in a class boxing historically treats with suspicion, if not outright refusal. Joshua was contractually obliged to weigh not more than 245lb, a stipulation that did little to allay security considerations voiced all through combat week.
The combat might be contested with 10oz gloves, commonplace challenge at heavyweight however a notable element given the disparity in measurement and expertise. Bodily, Joshua holds clear benefits in energy, attain and pedigree, cast throughout 13 world title bouts and greater than a decade on the sport’s highest stage. Paul, 28, has boxed above the cruiserweight restrict simply as soon as earlier than, and enters as an awesome underdog regardless of the worldwide platform he brings with him.
Key occasions
Spherical 1
Joshua takes the middle of the ring and Paul circles him, shifting from left to proper and again once more. Not a lot motion within the opening minute and the group sends a smattering of boos towards the ring. Paul lands a double jab to Joshua’s physique however darts again to the skin. Joshua, making an attempt to chop off the ring, unloads with and overhand proper that seems to land on Paul, however he’s shifting backward and it doesn’t do a lot harm. A really low quantity of punches landed, perhaps one or two for every man.
Guardian’s unofficial rating: Paul 9-10 Joshua (Paul 9-10 Joshua)
The ready is over. The ultimate directions have been given by the referee, the seconds are out and we’ll choose it up with round-by-round protection from right here!
And right here comes Jake Paul. The doorway begins with the opening strains of Rick Derringer’s Actual American, the late Hulk Hogan’s famed tune. He’s accompanied to the ring by controversial rapper Tekashi 6ix9ine. He’s within the ring and the fighter bulletins are beneath method.
The fighters are making their entrances for the primary occasion. First out is Anthony Joshua, making his solution to the ring to Freeway’s What We Do. A blended response from the group as he ambles on to the ring carrying a sleeveless camouflage gown with matching trunks and white gloves. A fraction of the pyrotechnics that we’re accustomed to for Joshua ringwalks, however he appears like he means enterprise.
Anthem time on the Kaseya Middle. First it’s Skye Bishop on God Save the King. The almost full area largely chit-chats over it. Now it’s former Fifth Concord member Ally Brooke out to carry out the Star-Spangled Banner. She’s introduced to boisterous cheers and enormous segments of the near-capacity crowd sing alongside together with her efficiency. Rollocking chants of “YEW-ESS-AY! YEW-ESS-AY!” after she brings it residence. Not for much longer now.
Joshua and Paul might be making their ringwalks any second now. Within the meantime right here’s our ringside report off tonight’s 4 girls’s title fights.
Alycia Baumgardner retains unified 130lb title
Alycia Baumgardner (17-1, 7 KOs), certainly one of girls’s boxing’s largest stars, has efficiently defended her WBO, IBF and WBA junior light-weight titles with a unanimous choice over Leila Beaudoin in a contest held beneath males’s championship guidelines with 12 rounds of three minutes every. The Ohio native, who rose to prominence by stopping Terri Harper in 2021 earlier than unifying all 4 belts to develop into the undisputed champion in 2023, repeatedly punished Beaudoin with physique photographs, lastly dropping her with a proper hook to the temple on the bell ending the seventh spherical.
Beaudoin (13-2, 2 KOs), a one-time downhill skier from Canada who took up boxing as a part of her cardio coaching and turned skilled in 2019, confirmed sturdiness and ambition however was outclassed by Baumgardner’s motion and energy, notably within the later rounds as her seen frustration mounted. The judges’ scores of 117-110 (twice) and 118-109 squared with the motion.
“I give myself an A-plus,” mentioned Baumgardner, who outlanded her opponent by a 158-98 margin in line with Compubox’s punch statistics.
The Kaseya Middle is filling up properly as Alycia Baumgardner and Leila Beaudoin transfer into the again finish of their scheduled 12-rounder. There are just a few pockets of empty seats within the higher and decrease bowls, however it needs to be fairly near a sellout in the long run.
Down within the high-rent district, a small military of celebrities and influencers have began occupying the ringside seats as the primary occasion attracts nearer. Among the many extra notable … the five-time main champion Rory McIlroy, recent off final night time’s Spoty gong throughout the pond.
Regardless of the gulf in measurement, expertise and pedigree, sportsbooks have reported heavy motion backing Paul as a longshot on the Kaseya Middle. At DraftKings, Joshua stays a dominant favourite, however roughly 86% of the cash wagered on the combat winner has landed on Paul at odds round +700. The curiosity is just not informal. Bettors are leaning exhausting into the potential for an upset.
That sentiment is even clearer within the prop markets. The most well-liked method-of-victory wager at DraftKings is Paul profitable by choice or technical choice, accounting for almost a 3rd of the motion. Paul by knockout or technical knockout has additionally drawn important curiosity, attracting near 1 / 4 of all prop bets regardless of lengthy odds. Joshua, against this, stays the broadly anticipated winner, however not the speculative one.
BetMGM has seen an analogous sample. Early Friday, Paul drew greater than 80% of the cash on the outright end result at odds close to +550, prompting books to regulate all through the day. By the afternoon, Paul’s value drifted longer whereas Joshua’s shortened additional, whilst the quantity of wagers backing Paul remained excessive. Paul by KO, TKO or disqualification emerged because the most-bet consequence prop at that sportsbook.
The betting enthusiasm stands in stark distinction to the bodily realities of the matchup. Joshua, 36, is a former two-time unified heavyweight champion with Olympic gold on his résumé and a 30lb weight benefit over Paul. He enters the bout having received three of his previous 4 fights, although he has not competed since being stopped by Daniel Dubois in September 2024.
Most ominous for Paul, Drake seems to have positioned a $200,000 wager on the YouTuber-turned-boxer for a possible $1,640,000 payout. The so-called Drake Curse has been blamed for a protracted string of losses over the previous few years. Throughout the 2024 Copa América, he misplaced $300,000 when Canada fell to Argentina within the semi-finals, of venture that may have paid almost $2.9m. Argentina twisted the knife afterward by posting “Not like us” – the title of a Kendrick Lamar diss monitor aimed on the Canadian rapper – in a cheeky nod to their rival’s misfortune.
Anderson Silva has simply stopped Tyron Woodley within the second spherical of their scheduled six-round cruiserweight bout. The 50-year-old Brazilian dropped his opponent with a flush proper uppercut adopted by a flurry of punches halfway via the body. Woodley beat the rely, the referee decided (accurately) he was unfit to proceed and waved it off on the 1:33 mark.
Subsequent up: Alycia Baumgardner defends her WBO, IBF and WBA girls’s junior light-weight titles in a scheduled 12-round combat. After that: Jake Paul v Anthony Joshua.
Story of the tape: Paul v Joshua
Right here’s a take a look at how Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua measure up forward of tonight’s principal occasion. The true chasm right here is just not age however class: a two-time unified heavyweight champion and Olympic gold medalist going through a 13-fight novice whose skilled profession has unfolded largely towards retired MMA champions, fellow influencers and long-faded ex-champions in Julio César Chávez Jr, and final 12 months’s made-for-Netflix bout towards a 58-year-old Mike Tyson that drew monumental viewership and equal components fascination and revulsion.
Joshua, 36, got here in at 243.4lb at Thursday’s weigh-in, almost 30lb heavier than Paul, who tipped the scales at 216.6lb. The distinction is sufficient to place the bout in a class boxing historically treats with suspicion, if not outright refusal. Joshua was contractually obliged to weigh not more than 245lb, a stipulation that did little to allay security considerations voiced all through combat week.
The combat might be contested with 10oz gloves, commonplace challenge at heavyweight however a notable element given the disparity in measurement and expertise. Bodily, Joshua holds clear benefits in energy, attain and pedigree, cast throughout 13 world title bouts and greater than a decade on the sport’s highest stage. Paul, 28, has boxed above the cruiserweight restrict simply as soon as earlier than, and enters as an awesome underdog regardless of the worldwide platform he brings with him.
Jahmal Harvey has simply received a lopsided six-round unanimous choice over Kevin Cervantes within the first televised undercard bout. The US Olympian and beginner world champion from Oxon Hill, Maryland, scored a knockdown and received going away by 60-53 on all three scorecards, bettering to 2-0 within the paying ranks. That leaves two extra preliminary fights earlier than the primary occasion.
In the meantime, Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua have arrived.
The televised portion of the undercard has simply kicked off with US Olympian and beginner world champion Jahmal Harvey set to face Los Angeles–primarily based prospect Kevin Cervantes in a six-round junior light-weight combat.
As we rely down the minutes to tonight’s principal occasion, it’s price taking a step again from the spectacle and asking a extra primary query: ought to this combat exist in any respect?
In a searing column for the Guardian, our Sean Ingle locations Paul v Joshua in an extended, darker boxing custom: one the place novelty, cash and governing our bodies’ willingness to look the opposite method have usually come at a value. Drawing on the ‘Bum of the Month’ period of Joe Louis, Sean argues that this bout goes past the same old carnival extra and into one thing extra corrosive.
The argument is that Joshua helps tear up boxing’s unstated social contract: the concept fighters knowingly settle for danger inside a framework of relative aggressive legitimacy. Whether or not the combat ends rapidly, drags on or produces one thing stranger, Sean presents a transparent articulation of why so many throughout the sport are uneasy and why “simply don’t watch” will not be an ample response.
Cherneka Johnson retains undisputed 118lb title
Australia’s Cherneka Johnson retained her undisputed bantamweight championship with a unanimous-decision win over Amanda Galle that was nearer than the 99-91, 98-92 and 97-93 scores handed down. The Melbourne-based Johnson (19-2, 8 KOs), who made historical past by changing into Australia’s first four-belt undisputed champion earlier this 12 months, compelled the motion from the opening bell, backing Galle up with sustained offense and physicality. However Galle (12-1-1, 1 KO), a Canadian challenger with a background in karate and a number of nationwide titles, remained aggressive and resilient in a high-volume combat with a great deal of two-way motion.
Johnson was a deserving winner in protection of her WBO, WBA, WBC and IBF titles at 118lb, however Galle deserved higher from the judges.
Caroline Dubois retains WBC light-weight title
Say what you need of tonight’s principal occasion, however there are 4 girls’s world title fights on the undercard worthy of consideration. Two of them are already within the books with two nonetheless to come back.
Caroline Dubois retained her WBC light-weight title on her US debut with a commanding 10-round unanimous choice over Camila Panatta. Dubois (12-0-1, 5 KOs), a 2020 Olympian and certainly one of Britain’s most extremely regarded younger professionals, discovered her vary early and wore her opponent down with regular strain and pinpoint accuracy, dropping Panatta with a test proper hook close to the tip of the sixth spherical.
Panatta (8-3-1, 1 KO), an Italian southpaw primarily based in close by West Palm Seashore who has sparred extensively with elite champions like Katie Taylor, saved urgent ahead however proved no match for the Londoner, who received by equivalent scores of 99-90 from the three ringside judges. It marked a 3rd profitable title protection for the 24-year-old – the youthful sister of British heavyweight Daniel Dubois – who was elevated to full world champion final 12 months after a speedy ascent via the ranks.
Earlier, Yokasta Valle received a bloody majority choice over Yadira Bustillos, retaining her WBC strawweight title by scores of 98-92, 96-94 and 95-95 in a crowd-pleasing, defense-optional affair that noticed each girls hearth off a mixed 1,045 punches over 20 blistering minutes. Valle (34-3, 10 KOs), a three-division world champion from Costa Rica and a fixture on most pound-for-pound lists, dictated the rhythm with quick mixtures, repeatedly beating her opponent to the punch within the opening rounds.
Bustillos (11-2, 2 KOs), a fast-rising contender with a robust beginner résumé, continued to press via a collection of head clashes that left each girls bloodied early on, however Valle’s expertise and accuracy carried her via the tape.
Preamble
Welcome to Miami, the place heavyweight boxing doesn’t come round too usually, however has understood the worth of theater on the events it has.
Greater than 60 years in the past, a brash 22-year-old Cassius Clay strutted into this metropolis as a no-hope challenger and emerged as Muhammad Ali, having compelled Sonny Liston to give up on his stool and detonated the game’s assumptions about who belonged on the prime. That combat was a real upset, a sporting shock that reshaped boxing historical past. Tonight’s bout borrows the setting and the symbolism, if not the aggressive steadiness.
Jake Paul v Anthony Joshua exists on the intersection boxing has been circling for many years: the collision of pedigree and platform, résumé and attain, belts and bandwidth. It’s being offered unapologetically as a world streaming spectacle – eight heavyweight rounds, backed by a nine-figure funding from Netflix and engineered for max virality – and but it nonetheless unfolds inside a hoop ruled by the identical unforgiving guidelines which have all the time utilized.
Joshua arrives as the game’s corrective. A former two-time unified heavyweight champion, Olympic gold medalist and one of many period’s most damaging punchers, he’s additionally a fighter in want of recalibration after being stopped by Daniel Dubois in September 2024. At 36, together with his long-discussed showdown with Tyson Fury nonetheless hovering someplace on the horizon, that is meant to be a reset: an opportunity to reassert authority, restore order and remind everybody what an actual heavyweight appears like.
Paul, in the meantime, arrives as disruption incarnate. A YouTuber by origin, a boxer by sheer power of will, he has spent the higher a part of 5 years daring the game to take him significantly whereas compiling a résumé that lives in boxing’s parallel circuit: retired MMA champions, fellow influencers, a pale ex-champion in Julio César Chávez Jr, and final 12 months’s made-for-Netflix bout towards a 58-year-old Mike Tyson that drew monumental viewership and equal components fascination and revulsion. These occasions have been marketed as boxing, however handled by many throughout the sport as one thing else: influencer content material dressed up within the patois of prizefighting.
That is completely different. Or no less than, it’s meant to be. Joshua outweighs Paul by almost 30lb, carries years extra high-level expertise and brings with him the form of energy that has prompted real security considerations all through combat week. The query is just not whether or not Paul belongs right here, however how lengthy he can stay protected if he steps within the pocket and takes possibilities to win.
So right here we’re: a true-blue heavyweight, a manufactured spectacle and a sport as soon as once more probing the bounds of what it is going to permit in pursuit of relevance and income. Whether or not tonight ends in restoration, rupture or one thing stranger, the bell will ring, the punches might be actual and the implications will linger lengthy after the stream goes darkish.
We’ll have round-by-round updates, key moments and on the spot response from now via the aftermath.
Bryan might be right here shortly. Within the meantime, right here’s a fast primer protecting the fundamentals of tonight’s occasion.
The place and when is the combat?
Tonight’s card takes place on the Kaseya Middle, the 20,000-seat residence of the NBA’s Miami Warmth. Ringwalks for the primary occasion between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua will not be anticipated earlier than 10.30pm ET (3.30am GMT).
The place can I watch it?
The printed will stream stay globally on Netflix beginning at 8pm ET (1am GMT) at no extra value to subscribers. There might be three televised preliminary fights earlier than Paul v Joshua.
The opening 5 undercard bouts not carried by the Netflix stream might be accessible free on Most Beneficial Promotions’ YouTube channel.
Who else is combating?
Right here’s a take a look at the operating order of tonight’s undercard (in reverse chronological order):
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Alycia Baumgardner v Leila Beaudoin, 12 rounds, for Baumgardner’s WBO, IBF and WBA girls’s junior light-weight titles
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Anderson Silva v Tyron Woodley, six rounds, cruiserweights
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Caroline Dubois v Camila Panatta, 10 rounds, for Dubois’ WBC girls’s light-weight title
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Cherneka Johnson v Amanda Galle, 10 rounds, for Johnson’s undisputed girls’s bantamweight championship
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Yokasta Valle v Yadira Bustillos, 10 rounds, for Valle’s WBC girls’s strawweight title
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Avious Griffin v Justin Cardona, eight rounds, welterweights
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Jahmal Harvey v Kevin Cervantes, six rounds, junior lightweights
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Keno Marley v Diarra Davis Jr, 4 rounds, cruiserweights
What’s at stake?
No titles are on the road within the eight-round heavyweight combat. Joshua outweighed Paul by almost 30lb at Thursday’s weigh-in, coming in at 243.4lb to Paul’s 216.6lb, a disparity that has fueled security considerations throughout the game. Regardless of the criticism, the bout is anticipated to be among the many extra profitable in boxing historical past, with studies suggesting a mixed purse of round $184m (£137.4).